"ChrisOD" <> wrote in message
news:...
> On 2008-04-19, impossible <> wrote:
>> "thingy" <> wrote in message
>> news:asmld5-...
>>> "... Microsoft Corp. today announced plans to rejigger and expand its
>>> Windows Embedded family of operating systems in an attempt to enlist
>>> developers of handhelds and other devices to help the software vendor
>>> combat increasing competition from Linux....."
>>>
>>> ".......last October, VDC released the results of a survey (download
>>> PDF)
>>> in which embedded developers overwhelmingly said that they planned to
>>> use
>>> either free or licensed versions of Linux on their next projects instead
>>> of proprietary operating systems. "Linux remains an attractive operating
>>> system choice for a range of embedded development teams for a number of
>>> reasons, including: royalty-free runtime costs, advanced networking
>>> capabilities and technical features, [and] the large base of engineers
>>> familiar with the Linux operating system," the research firm
>>> said........."
>>>
>>> http://www.computerworld.com/action/...icleId=9077838
>>>
>>
>> Hmmm....so Microsoft has 32% of the embedded os market and Linux has 8%.
>> I
>> had no idea so many vendors were using Windows. And did you hear? IBM
>> just
>> switched from Suse to Windows for all its POS hardware? So that's an
>> unexpected setback, eh?
>>
>>
> Well had in 2006, according to the article quoted in the CW article.
> http://www.eetimes.com/news/latest/s...leID=202806015
> Also mentioned in that art.
> "About 47 percent of embedded developers currently say they use a
> commercial
> OS, 21 percent use a non-commercial open source OS, 20 percent use
> homegrown
> software and ten percent use a commercial Linux version"
>
> So 8% of rev from 10% of market for linux in 2006.
>
> But interestingly 21% Open Source non-commercial. Would give Linux
> significantly more % usage than the 8% you quote or even the 10%.
>
> More recent data which seems to spark this article
> http://www.vdc-corp.com/_documents/p...hment-1394.pdf
> shows current (Oct 2007) linux usage for embedded at 11% of commercial
> usage (only up 1%) but 29% usage of non-commercial linux! and commercial
> usage down to 38%.
>
Market share, measured in percentage of dollar income, is very different
from usage share, measured in percentage of projects. I don't doubt that
there are a lot of developers using non-commecial open-source development
tools for their projects. And the number of projects these developers are
involved in may very well be growing. However, the important question to me
is not the popularity of any given development package but the size, scope,
complexity, and (ultimately) profitability of the projects concerned.
Unfortunately, the 2007 VDC survey you mention offers no information about
that. If I were a developer, I'd much prefer to have one project worth $2
million in the works than 50 projects worth $20,000. Wouldn't you? And
that's where market share becomes a much more useful statistic than usage
for tracking business trends.
> And even scarier for commercial embedded vendors the next project planned
> usage is down to 12% for commercial OSs.
>
If that's true, we're bound to see it reflected in some soon-to-be-released
market share numbers. But I must say I'm doubtful. For years, we've all been
reading reports predicting that "next year", "next time", "next project"
will be the time for [name your favorite open-source distro/tool]. I'll
believe it when I see it.
> Yes agreed MS has managed to OWN the POS market by a well designed OS
> directed at the needs of a specialised market. But can MS follow this
> trend to diversify their offerings into every other specialised market?
>
No, but then Microsoft has always picked its spots. It's as likely to buy
into some market via an acqusition as strike out on its own from scratch.