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http://story.news.yahoo.com/news?tmp...yle_germany_us

Not that Bill is always right...


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-- http://www.aliasimages.com/rpe35mmur.htm
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In article <GubJc.116191$>,
says...
>
> http://story.news.yahoo.com/news?tmp...yle_germany_us
>
> Not that Bill is always right...
>
>
>


Bill is almost always wrong in his predictions. Especially the ones he
makes public. The only reason he said that no one would ever need more
than 640K was that he didn't have anything to sell that handled more than
that. As soon as he had something to sell, he forgot all about his
prediction and started bragging about how much memory Windows could
address.

The only reason Bill is 'predicting' that DVDs will be obsolete in 10
years is to try to kill sales of the technology. He does this all the
time. What Bill really wants is for everyone to have to be on-line all
the time and get all their files and programs from some huge server in
Redmond that he controls. Or, at the very least, a server that someone
has to pay him licensing fees for. This is what he keeps trying to push
with .NET but isn't being too very successful.

The fact that DVDs are becoming larger and faster is making it possible
for people to carry more and more data with them rather than having to
connect to some central server. I'm sure this has Bill a little scared.

> The only reason he said that no one would ever need more
>than 640K was that he didn't have anything to sell that handled more than
>that

He denied that he ever said that.

Alan Browne wrote:
>
http://story.news.yahoo.com/news?tmp...yle_germany_us
>
> Not that Bill is always right...

"640K ought to be enough for anybody."
-- Bill Gates circa 1981

Terry D.

We already have memory card disks that go in cameras that will hold 2
gigs. It will not be long that something on this order will come along
as standard for music and video. Music and video recorder/players with
no moving parts. No motors or bearings to wera out, no 'skipping' when
you hit a bump. etc. Imagine something the size of a Memory Stick
holding 4 gigs or more!

It will not be long until we start transferring those DVDs to memory
cards.

Edward

>
>We already have memory card disks that go in cameras that will hold 2
>gigs. It will not be long that something on this order will come along
>as standard for music and video. Music and video recorder/players with
>no moving parts. No motors or bearings to wera out, no 'skipping' when
>you hit a bump. etc. Imagine something the size of a Memory Stick
>holding 4 gigs or more!
>
>It will not be long until we start transferring those DVDs to memory
>cards.
>
>Edward
>

Gates is absolutely right that DVDs are ridiculous in that they scratch easily
and are too easily damaged. Nanotech is around the corner. Within 10 years
we'll probably have more durable media.

"Sabineellen" <> wrote in message
news:...
>
> Gates is absolutely right that DVDs are ridiculous in that they scratch
easily
> and are too easily damaged. Nanotech is around the corner. Within 10 years
> we'll probably have more durable media.

I agree...I can't believe how much money I've got sunk in DVD movies and any
that have been
played more than 10 times seem to develop problems (and that doesn't even
address that about
1/3 of them (that I've bought) are bad when new. I even gave up on getting
a good copy of the
"Concert for George" and accepted the least bad one I could find (and that
is $30). Flash memory
might be a nice substitute when the density/price ratio gets more favorable.

Also, spintronics (devices based on electron spin rather than charge) is in
its infancy. Who knows
what new things might come from that.

Alan Browne <> climbed onto an orange
crate and shouted:

>
>http://story.news.yahoo.com/news?tmp...yle_germany_us

Ho hum. Most computer technologies are obsolete within 10 years.
Anybody out there still using 5-1/4" floppy drives or 386-class
processors?

There are a few exceptions, e.g., hard drives basically work the same
as 20 years ago even though they are bigger and faster.

>Not that Bill is always right...

Even a blind pig can find its slop.


--
"Politicians & Diapers Need To Be Changed For The Same Reason"
(seen on a bumper sticker)

George wrote:

> "Sabineellen" <> wrote in message
> news:...
>
>>Gates is absolutely right that DVDs are ridiculous in that they scratch
>
> easily
>
>>and are too easily damaged. Nanotech is around the corner. Within 10 years
>>we'll probably have more durable media.
>
>
> I agree...I can't believe how much money I've got sunk in DVD movies and any
> that have been
> played more than 10 times seem to develop problems (and that doesn't even
> address that about


Hmm. You must be real mean to your DVD's. I've never had a new
one do anything wrong. Some rentals skip or freeze, but a quick
wipedown with a kleenex fixes that.

I even bought a few used DVD's from the rental store and they are
fine.


--
-- rec.photo.equipment.35mm user resource:
-- http://www.aliasimages.com/rpe35mmur.htm
-- e-meil: there's no such thing as a FreeLunch.--

"Alan Browne" <> wrote in message
news:GubJc.116191$. ..
>
>
http://story.news.yahoo.com/news?tmp...yle_germany_us
>
> Not that Bill is always right...

Nobody is. However, this time he just might be. I find the damned things
to be unreliable. I have two DVD players and a DVD reader/burner in my
computer. All three are fussy. We now ALWAYS rent movies on VHS, when we
have that choice. I have stopped using writeable DVDs as backups for my
computer files. Far too many that I have burned have turned into coasters.

I know all about treating them with TLC. None of that helps very much,
although I have been able to watch a movie or two from failed, rented DVDs
by wiping God knows what off of the discs.

We rent movies from three different stores and I have taken the time to ask
the sales clerks about their experiences with customers and DVDs and all
report the same thing: DVDs are a pain in the arse for customers and rental
concerns alike. This technology is just too "fussy." Good riddance to DVDs
and thank you Mr. Gates if you can give us some affordable alternatives.