Velocity Reviews > Heads or Tails

Plato
Guest
Posts: n/a

 12-13-2004
If I took a penny and flipped it 100 times and 99 times it came up Heads
what are the chances of it coming up Heads again on the 101st toss?

A: 50%
B: 75%
C: 99%

The Old Sourdough
Guest
Posts: n/a

 12-13-2004
Plato gibbered the following deranged nonsense:
> If I took a penny and flipped it 100 times and 99 times it came up Heads
> what are the chances of it coming up Heads again on the 101st toss?
>
> A: 50%
> B: 75%
> C: 99%
>

A:50%

--
The Old Sourdough
BEER!! The staff of life!!
Linux Registered User 5A020
http://www.velocityreviews.com/forums/(E-Mail Removed)

=?ISO-8859-1?Q?R=F4g=EAr?=
Guest
Posts: n/a

 12-13-2004
Plato wrote:
> If I took a penny and flipped it 100 times and 99 times it came up Heads
> what are the chances of it coming up Heads again on the 101st toss?
>
> A: 50%
> B: 75%
> C: 99%

Just now learning about statistics? It's always 50%, the penny can't
remember what it's done in the past.

Harvey Gratt
Guest
Posts: n/a

 12-13-2004
Rôgêr wrote:

> Plato wrote:
>
>> If I took a penny and flipped it 100 times and 99 times it came up Heads
>> what are the chances of it coming up Heads again on the 101st toss?
>>
>> A: 50%
>> B: 75%
>> C: 99%

>
>
> Just now learning about statistics? It's always 50%, the penny can't
> remember what it's done in the past.

Only if the penny and the experiment aren't rigged. The real question
should be "what is the probability that the experiment is rigged given
the data?"

Harvey

Yddap
Guest
Posts: n/a

 12-13-2004
In news:jTlvd.753770\$8_6.33719@attbi_s04,
Harvey Gratt <(E-Mail Removed)> opined very noisily:
> Rôgêr wrote:
>
>> Plato wrote:
>>
>>> If I took a penny and flipped it 100 times and 99 times it came up
>>> Heads what are the chances of it coming up Heads again on the 101st
>>> toss? A: 50%
>>> B: 75%
>>> C: 99%

>>
>>
>> Just now learning about statistics? It's always 50%, the penny can't
>> remember what it's done in the past.

>
> Only if the penny and the experiment aren't rigged. The real question
> should be "what is the probability that the experiment is rigged given
> the data?"
>
> Harvey

99%

--

Yddap

Jock Strap
Guest
Posts: n/a

 12-13-2004
Plato wrote:

> If I took a penny and flipped it 100 times and 99 times it came up
> Heads what are the chances of it coming up Heads again on the 101st
> toss?
>
> A: 50%
> B: 75%
> C: 99%

A:50%. And no, it would never come up heads 99 times in a row either.
Yes, it's theoretically possible, but practically it wouldn't happen.

Flying Tiger
Guest
Posts: n/a

 12-13-2004

"Plato" <|@|.|> schreef in bericht
news:41bdcf2b\$0\$62698\$(E-Mail Removed)...
> If I took a penny and flipped it 100 times and 99 times it came up Heads
> what are the chances of it coming up Heads again on the 101st toss?
>
> A: 50%
> B: 75%
> C: 99%
>

Normally 50% cz lack off memory off penny,

if it came 99 times head up, i would check the other side off penny,

F.

Plato
Guest
Posts: n/a

 12-13-2004
The Old Sourdough wrote:
>
> > If I took a penny and flipped it 100 times and 99 times it came up Heads
> > what are the chances of it coming up Heads again on the 101st toss?
> >
> > A: 50%
> > B: 75%
> > C: 99%

>
> A:50%

False.

Plato
Guest
Posts: n/a

 12-13-2004
Harvey Gratt wrote:
>
> > Just now learning about statistics? It's always 50%, the penny can't
> > remember what it's done in the past.

>
> Only if the penny and the experiment aren't rigged. The real question
> should be "what is the probability that the experiment is rigged given
> the data?"

Correct. For a penny to come up Heads 99% of the time it has to be
rigged.

I imagine that you Harvey dont work in a cube but have an office with a
window

Plato
Guest
Posts: n/a

 12-13-2004
Jock Strap wrote:
>
> > If I took a penny and flipped it 100 times and 99 times it came up
> > Heads what are the chances of it coming up Heads again on the 101st
> > toss?
> >
> > A: 50%
> > B: 75%
> > C: 99%

>
> A:50%. And no, it would never come up heads 99 times in a row either.

False.